Will NLD and Oppositions create a change

Burma 2010 election: Will NLD and Oppositions create a change

Another round of outrage has taken place after Electoral Commission Law was released on 9th March 2010. Similar situation has been transpired in Burma after students were slaughtered in 1988, after Daw Aung San Suu kyi and motorcade was ambushed in 2003, after the monks were killed in 2007 and after people were neglected in cyclone Nargis. The tempers that embrace the people in all those occasions are exactly the same.

People and international governments reveal their concern and criticism after finding out the contents of unworkable commission law by half-witted dictators. The word “unjust” and” intolerable” are being expressed among oppositions. It is actually bizarre and negligent electoral commission law that will absolutely pave the way toward permanent military rule state. On the other hand, it is predictable outcome that dictators will make this step if someone observes the way and attitude of a group of military dictator adheres in order to get away from the crimes that they have committed.

According to the nature of dictators, they won’t easily relinquish power. Dictators in Burma have already prepared everything to make sure that no opposition is capable to deprive power from them. Look at the tactics that dictators in Burma bring into play after 1988 crackdowns. Dictators use people to crackdown people. Dictators set up a couple of destructive organizations to thwart opposition’s movements. For example, the two horrifying pro-dictator organizations, the union solidarity development association (USDA) and its sister group, Swan Ah Shin (Master of Force) are always ready to be deployed any time, any where to perform whatever dictators wish.

As the dictators have been pursuing their specific goals of transforming Burma into permanent military rule country, they keep maintain following capabilities to make it happen everything that should be done for their own sake.

- Though they know that no one should not be above the law, dictators manipulate judiciary system under their control.
- Almost all of opposition leaders who have full support from the people are to be locked up and if any talented individual turn up, anyone will be taken away from the public.
- As public demonstration is the main strategy of opposition side, dictators have given instructions to clear out any procession that may threaten to their continued existence.
- Dictators ignore international pressure.

Therefore, alterations of current political circumstances depend upon what opposition can make significant move. Right now, ultimatum of the whole opposition is to derecognize 2010 elections and to ask for a dialogue toward national reconciliation. Having general goal of achieving freedom and democracy in Burma in all the opposition organizations will be the same as we have been doing last 21 years. Moreover the pressures by international community including the United Nations do not create significant change from current misleading situations in Burma.

The only thing which will make dictators unleash their grip on power is a unified and systematic move of the whole oppositions inside and outside the country. For example, implementing a call from Member of Parliament Union (MPU) to initiate people’s government by elected representatives in 1990 will be relatively powerful step if it is more than verbal proclamation. Then all the oppositions have to work for it as it is first priority until it comes into practice.
There was similar scenario like it is now after monks led demonstrations were cracked down in 2007. It was National Unity Government (NUG) exposed by exile oppositions. It gave the impression to all as it said to be inclusive of elected representatives in 1990, leaders from ethnic groups and proficient individuals from exile organizations. But the name NUG faded away even before it reached to early stage of foundation.

Here are obvious occurrences within political stalemate in Burma.
Dictators =>>Dictators have the next step after previous steps. (Setting up interim government is possible their next step before 2010 election)
Opposition =>>The next serious step is about to be decided (MPU call for people’s government. NLD inside is going to declare its next plan on 29th March 2010.

Therefore, whether sensible circumstance will emerge between dictators and oppositions depend on the next move of oppositions.